Obama’s star power
A commenter on Asymetrical Information opines thusly about Senator Barack Obama:
Barack Obama won’t be President, not in 2008 anyway, because despite being a darling to the media he is unknown outside of his home state.
I’d say it’s too early to be able to hope to accurately predict what will transpire in 2008. But my guess is Obama is a bit of a long shot at this point, primarily because of his lack of experience: four years in the Senate seems to me too flimsy a foundation on which to build a credible quest for the White House. Still, it’s just plain silly to say he’s “unknown outside of his home state.” Obama is now a national figure, and is on the verge of national fame (i.e, familiar even to non political-junkies and non-blog readers). I wouldn’t like Obama’s chances to win the nomination over Hillary Clinton, say, or Al Gore. But I’d never say never, and at a bare minimum Obama’s a credible candidate. He certainly could win the nomination, and I’d say it’s almost likely that he’ll end up on the ticket (if only as the VP candidate) if he wants it.
By the way, I’m not discounting the existence of racism in the US — it surely exists. My sense, though, is that the number of white voters who would never vote for a black presidential candidate is now exceeded by the number of white voters who will go out of their way to do so.